Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Mjallby AIF win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
