Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 56.41%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 22.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.01%) and 1-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
