Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Halmstads BK win was 1-0 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.