Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Hacken win was 1-0 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.