Africa Cup of Nations
Dec 28, 2025 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Riyad Mahrez 23' goal
  • Ismael Bennacer 27' yellowcard
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 73' yellowcard
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Sangare 10'
  • yellowcard 10'
  • yellowcard Pierre Landry Kabore 16'
  • yellowcard 16'
  • yellowcard Edmond Tapsoba 89'

Algeria vs Burkina Faso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 24, 2025 3.00pm
Algeria 3 - 0 Sudan

Burkina Faso

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 24, 2025 12.30pm
Burkina Faso 2 - 1 Eq Guinea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 51.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.22% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%) , while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood.

Result

Algeria 51.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 27.22% ▼ (-0.05)
Burkina Faso 21.6% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.17% ▲ (+0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.51% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 61.49% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 18.64% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 81.36% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 4.5 7.57% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 92.43% ▼ (-0.09)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5 75.7% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 24.29% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 41.33% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 58.67% ▼ (-0.11)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5 55.7% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 0.5 44.3% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 1.5 19.63% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 80.37% ▼ (-0.17)

Score analysis

Algeria 51.16%
Draw 27.21%
Burkina Faso 21.6%
Algeria
1-0 @ 15.22% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 10.77% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 51.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 10.76% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 27.21%
Burkina Faso
0-1 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 21.6%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 20, 2024 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Mustapha Tchaker
  • Baghdad Bounedjah 51' goal
  • Ramy Bensebaini 53' yellowcard
  • Baghdad Bounedjah 90'+5' goal
  • Baghdad Bounedjah 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adamo Nagalo 17'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Sangare 23'
  • goal Mohamed Konate 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Konate 62'
  • goal Bertrand Traore 71'
  • yellowcard Nasser Djiga 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Blati Toure 90'+8'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 16, 2021 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Riyad Mahrez 21' goal
  • Sofiane Feghouli 68' goal
  • goal Zakaria Sanogo 37'
  • goal Issoufou Dayo 84'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Sep 7, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Abdoul Tapsoba 15' yellowcard
  • Abdoul Tapsoba 64' goal
  • Gustavo Sangare 75' yellowcard
  • goal Sofiane Feghouli 18'
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 22'