Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.39% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alanyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%) , while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.