Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rovaniemen Palloseura win with a probability of 42%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rovaniemen Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.