Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Rovaniemen Palloseura had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Rovaniemen Palloseura win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Honka in this match.