Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Honka had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Honka win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
