Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
