Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rovaniemen Palloseura had a probability of 24.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Rovaniemen Palloseura win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lahti would win this match.
