Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 5
Oct 17, 2026 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Jakobstads Centralplan
  • V. Vuorinen 64' goal
  • yellowcard Tuomas Koivisto 1'
  • goal Gergő Kocsis 79' (OG)

Jaro vs IFK Mariehamn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jaro

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
TPS 1 - 1 Jaro
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Herman Sjögrell

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 5.00pm
Mariehamn 1 - 1 Ilves
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jaro win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jaro win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-2 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Jaro 40.28% ▼ (-0.33)
Draw 25.77% ▲ (+0.09)
IFK Mariehamn 33.95% ▲ (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.46% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 21.75% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 54.64% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 45.36% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 31.94% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 3.5 68.06% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 4.5 18.34% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 4.5 81.66% ▼ (-0.66)

First Half Winner

Jaro 32.92% ▼ (-0.33)
Draw 39.61% ▲ (+0.21)
IFK Mariehamn 27.47% ▲ (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Jaro 51.35% ▲ (+0.38)
No Goal 5.97% ▲ (+0.06)
IFK Mariehamn 42.68% ▼ (-0.43)

Corners

Over 8 59.24% ▼ (-3.36)
Equal 8 11.3% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 8 29.46% ▲ (+3.27)
Over 9 47.58% ▼ (-3.15)
Equal 9 11.65% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 9 40.76% ▲ (+3.36)
Over 10.5 36.56% ▼ (-2.69)
Under 10.5 63.44% ▲ (+2.69)

Jaro Goals

Over 1.5 42.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 57.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 18.05% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 81.95% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 6.77% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 3.5 93.23% ▼ (-0.30)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5 69.61% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 30.39% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 37.04% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 1.5 62.96% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 2.5 14.88% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 2.5 85.12% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 3.5 4.85% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 3.5 95.15% ▼ (-0.19)

Score analysis

Jaro 40.28%
Draw 25.78%
IFK Mariehamn 33.94%
Jaro
2-1 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.17)
1-0 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.21)
Total : 40.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.2% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 25.78%
IFK Mariehamn
1-2 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.08)
0-1 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 33.94%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 22
Aug 31, 2026 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wiklöf Holding Arena
  • Adam Larsson 43' yellowcard
  • Adam Larsson 62' goal
  • Thomas Klemetsen Jakobsen 75' goal
  • J. Svedberg 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kaius Hardén 49'
  • yellowcard J. Skau 52'
  • yellowcard Valde Löfs 77'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 23, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Jakobstads Centralplan
  • V. Vuorinen 7' goal
  • Aron Bjonbäck 16' yellowcard
  • Aron Bjonbäck 17' yellowcard
  • Herman Sjögrell 18' goal
  • Adam Vidjeskog 70' yellowcard
  • Joas Vikström 90' yellowcard
  • Rudi Vikström 90' yellowcard
  • Rudi Vikström 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Pearce 46'
  • yellowcard J. Nissinen 46'
  • yellowcard A. Lundberg 71'
  • yellowcard A. Soiniemi 71'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sep 28, 2025 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 14
Jul 6, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 1
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Hugo Cardoso 42' yellowcard
  • Korede Adedoyin 56' yellowcard
  • goal Kerfala Cissoko 6'
  • goal Kerfala Cissoko 55'
  • yellowcard Sergei Eremenko 67'