Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Oct 10, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Wiklöf Holding Arena
  • S. Ngulube 35' yellowcard
  • Arvid Bergvik 74' yellowcard
  • Thomas Klemetsen Jakobsen 84' goal
  • yellowcard Sauli Väisänen 43'
  • yellowcard Bamba Abdoul Goudouss 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Matias Rale 66'
  • goal Teemu Hytönen 69'

IFK Mariehamn vs Ilves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Sep 18, 2026 4.00pm
SJK 2 - 1 Mariehamn
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 1.00pm
TPS 0 - 3 Ilves
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Teemu Hytönen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result

IFK Mariehamn 25.24% ▼ (-0.31)
Draw 24.44% ▼ (-0.35)
Ilves 50.33% ▲ (+0.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.62% ▼ (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 21.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 54.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 45.59% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 31.23% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 68.77% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 4.5 17.8% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 82.2% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

IFK Mariehamn 23.25% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 40.84% ▼ (-0.46)
Ilves 35.91% ▲ (+0.31)

Team To Score First

IFK Mariehamn 36.81% ▼ (-0.09)
No Goal 5.77% ▼ (-0.12)
Ilves 57.42% ▲ (+0.21)

Corners

Over 8 63.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 25.26%
Over 9 52.35% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.58% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 9 36.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 41% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 10.5 59% ▼ (-0.14)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 1.5 29.42% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 1.5 70.58% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 2.5 9.45% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 2.5 90.55% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 2.77% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 97.23% ▲ (+0.17)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5 79.8% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 0.5 20.2% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 1.5 49.63% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 1.5 50.37% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 2.5 23.13% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 2.5 76.87% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 8.65% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 91.35% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

IFK Mariehamn 25.23%
Draw 24.44%
Ilves 50.33%
IFK Mariehamn
2-1 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 25.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 24.44%
Ilves
1-2 @ 10.1% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 9.76% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 50.33%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 9, 2026 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • Teemu Hytönen 25' goal
  • Jardell Kanga 45'+2' goal
  • Oskari Multala 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Foster Gyamfi 24'
  • yellowcard N. Nurmi 57'
  • yellowcard E. Patut 85'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Apr 18, 2026 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Wiklöf Holding Arena
  • E. Patut 45'+3' goal
  • S. Dahlström 55' goal
  • A. Huttunen 69' yellowcard
  • Luke Pearce 69' yellowcard
  • A. Soiniemi 69' yellowcard
  • Marlo Hyvönen 83' yellowcard
  • A. Lundberg 89' yellowcard
  • goal Otto Tiitinen 22'
  • goal Teemu Hytönen 64'
  • yellowcard Roope Riski 66'
  • yellowcard Roope Riski 67'
  • yellowcard André Raymond 79'
  • yellowcard Oskari Multala 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Yiandro Raap 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Oskari Multala 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Yiandro Raap 90'+2'
Club Friendlies 3
Mar 14, 2026 1.00pm
Tammelan Stadion
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 31, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Apr 27, 2025 4.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Sebastian Dahlstrom 17' goal
  • Niilo Kujasalo 29' goal
  • Niilo Kujasalo 32' yellowcard
  • Jiri Nissinen 40' yellowcard
  • Eemil Toivonen 42' yellowcard
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 61' goal
  • redcard Otso Virtanen 4'
  • goal Tatu Miettunen 54'
  • goal Matias Rale 60'
  • yellowcard Teemu Hytonen 85'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 19
Aug 11, 2024 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ratinan Stadion
  • Roope Riski 25' goal
  • Santeri Haarala 49' goal
  • Matias Kivikko 56' yellowcard
  • Lauri Ala-Myllymaki 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Dahlstrom 23'
  • yellowcard Pedro Machado 48'
  • yellowcard Michael Fonsell 88'