Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 10
Nov 8, 2026 1.00pm
Mustapekka Areena

Gnistan vs Vaasan Palloseura - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Nov 2, 2026 4.00pm
Inter Turku 4 - 3 Gnistan

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Nov 2, 2026 4.00pm
VPS 0 - 4 HJK Helsinki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gnistan win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura has a probability of 32.95% and a draw has a probability of 26.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win is 1-2 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.44%).

Result

Gnistan 40.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 26.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Vaasan Palloseura 32.95% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.6% ▲ (+0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.64% ▲ (+1.24)
Under 1.5 22.36% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 2.5 53.64% ▲ (+1.67)
Under 2.5 46.36% ▼ (-1.67)
Over 3.5 31.25% ▲ (+1.81)
Under 3.5 68.75% ▼ (-1.82)
Over 4.5 17.61% ▲ (+1.36)
Under 4.5 82.39% ▼ (-1.36)

First Half Winner

Gnistan 30.86% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 40.98% ▲ (+0.33)
Vaasan Palloseura 28.16% ▼ (-0.54)

Team To Score First

Gnistan 47.63% ▲ (+1.20)
No Goal 6.32% ▼ (-0.35)
Vaasan Palloseura 46.05% ▼ (-0.85)

Corners

Over 8 65.93% ▲ (+3.81)
Equal 8 10.72% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 8 23.34% ▼ (-3.99)
Over 9 54.24% ▲ (+3.24)
Equal 9 11.69% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 9 34.07% ▼ (-3.80)
Over 10.5 42.63% ▲ (+2.42)
Under 10.5 57.37% ▼ (-2.42)

Gnistan Goals

Over 1.5 42.04% ▲ (+1.16)
Under 1.5 57.96% ▼ (-1.16)
Over 2.5 18.33% ▲ (+0.92)
Under 2.5 81.67% ▼ (-0.93)
Over 3.5 6.43% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 3.5 93.57% ▼ (-0.48)

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 0.5 68.93% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 0.5 31.07% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 1.5 36.07% ▲ (+1.17)
Under 1.5 63.93% ▼ (-1.17)
Over 2.5 13.93% ▲ (+0.91)
Under 2.5 86.07% ▼ (-0.91)
Over 3.5 4.52% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 3.5 95.48% ▼ (-0.52)

Score analysis

Gnistan 40.86%
Draw 26.19%
Vaasan Palloseura 32.96%
Gnistan
2-1 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.21)
1-0 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.49)
2-0 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.38)
Total : 40.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44% ▼ (-0.23)
0-0 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.35)
2-2 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.31)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 0.1% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 26.19%
Vaasan Palloseura
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-1 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.41)
0-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.24)
1-3 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.43)
Total : 32.96%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 5
Oct 12, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Xavier Odhiambo 36' goal
  • yellowcard Noah Rossi 87'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 13
Jun 27, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Danny Pérez 20' goal
  • S. Ylätupa 81' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Smyth 36'
  • yellowcard Paulo Lima 85'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 6
May 9, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Luka Smyth 7' yellowcard
  • Joonas Vahtera 68' yellowcard
  • Miika Niemi 78' yellowcard
  • Olavi Keturi 78' yellowcard
  • Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard J. Ojala 43'
  • yellowcard Danny Pérez 46'
  • goal Adeleke Akinyemi 63'
  • yellowcard V. Hänninen 74'
  • yellowcard A. Jouhi 84'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 15, 2025 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 11
Jun 18, 2025 7.00pm
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Oct 23, 2024 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Mikko Pitkanen 38' redcard
  • Martti Haukioja 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jukka Raitala 38'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Onni Vilho Europaeus 71'
  • goal Teemu Penninkangas 78'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Tatar 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Roope Pyyskanen 90'+4'