Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.