Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.