Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Elversberg	Draw	Hertha Berlin
32% ( -0.38)	23.15% ( -0.05)	44.85% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 63.24% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.01% (

0.08)

37.99% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.75% (

0.09)

60.25% (

-0.09)

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52% (

-0.18)

23.48% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.5% (

-0.26)

57.5% (

0.26)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.64% (

0.2)

17.36% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.24% (

0.35)

47.76% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Elversberg 32%

Hertha Berlin 44.85%

Draw 23.15%

Elversberg	Draw	Hertha Berlin
2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 32%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.15%	1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.07% Total : 44.85%