Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.