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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Frosinone logo

Cagliari
4 - 3
Frosinone

Oristanio (72'), Makoumbou (76'), Pavoletti (90+4', 90+6')
Prati (58')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Soule (23', 37'), Brescianini (49')
Romagnoli (25'), Bourabia (85'), Okoli (87'), Marchizza (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Cagliari
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Frosinone
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 1-2 Frosinone

Cagliari's woes could continue into November, as the Sardinian side are set for a seventh Serie A defeat of the season; they have a sieve-like defence and can be caught out by Frosinone's bright attacking talents more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawFrosinone
37.18% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 27.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 35.6% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.17% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.7% (0.153 0.15)55.3% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48% (0.126 0.13)76.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (0.10300000000001 0.1)28.69% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (0.126 0.13)64.51% (-0.123 -0.12)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (0.072000000000003 0.07)29.65% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (0.087999999999994 0.09)65.7% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 37.17%
    Frosinone 35.59%
    Draw 27.23%
CagliariDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 10.34% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 35.59%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Frosinone

Cagliari
27.6%
Draw
20.7%
Frosinone
51.7%
29
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm
Nov 27, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Frosinone
2-2
Cagliari
Rohden (32'), Insigne (67')
Luvumbo (14'), Lapadula (90+7' pen.)
Apr 20, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 33
Cagliari
1-0
Frosinone
Pedro (27' pen.)
Farago (57'), Pedro (82')
Farago (79')

Ciano (90')
Dec 2, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 14
Frosinone
1-1
Cagliari
Cassata (14')
Cassata (32')
Farias (77')
Ceppitelli (34'), Bradaric (37'), Srna (40'), Barella (54'), Pavoletti (60'), Farias (90')
Barella (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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