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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 2, 2024 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Belgrano
1 - 0
Argentinos Jrs

Heredia (67')
Baldi (11'), Cruz Real (13'), Chavarria (16')
Chavarria (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Godoy (7'), Gamarra (74'), Vega (79'), Heredia (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Argentinos Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Belgrano
Wednesday, May 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Belgrano 1-1 Argentinos Juniors

Saturday's game could be close to call with Belgrano no longer distracted by continental games for a while, even if the same applies to Argentinos, who have endured a disappointing road form. The outcome could be contingent on which team adapts quicker following midweek Sudamericana exertions, and that uncertainty means we err on the side of caution by going for a tie in the round four fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belgrano win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Argentinos Juniors has a probability of 31.22% and a draw has a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win is 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.18%).

Result
BelgranoDrawArgentinos Juniors
40.51% (0.156 0.16) 28.28% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 31.22% (-0.183 -0.18)
Both teams to score 46.21% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.15% (-0.151 -0.15)59.86% (0.15799999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.87% (-0.114 -0.11)80.13% (0.11999999999999 0.12)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.016999999999996 0.02)28.96% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.018999999999998 0.02)64.85% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (-0.214 -0.21)34.95% (0.22000000000001 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (-0.226 -0.23)71.69% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 40.5%
    Argentinos Juniors 31.22%
    Draw 28.27%
BelgranoDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 12.54% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.77% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 10.12% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.27%
0-1 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 31.22%

How you voted: Belgrano vs Argentinos Jrs

Belgrano
0.0%
Draw
60.0%
Argentinos Juniors
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 10.15pm
Gameweek 4
Argentinos Jrs
3-0
Belgrano
Gonzalez (4'), Gabriel Montiel (52'), Avalos (72')
Feb 2, 2019 10.20pm
Gameweek 17
Argentinos Jrs
0-0
Belgrano
Hauche (22'), Mac Allister (83'), Torren (93')
Gudino (25'), Meli (79')
Herrera (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Second Phase
1Racing ClubRacing4310124810
2GimnasiaGimnasia32107257
3TalleresTalleres32105147
4HuracanHuracan32105237
5UnionUnion32104137
6Independiente Rivadavia32103037
7BelgranoBelgrano421178-17
8River PlateRiver Plate32016156
9EstudiantesEstudiantes32014226
10Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB32013126
11Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs420246-26
12Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield412145-15
13Atletico TucumanTucuman412134-15
14Rosario CentralRosario31115414
15Boca Juniors31114314
16Instituto31113304
17LanusLanus311134-14
18Barracas Central311123-14
19Deportivo Riestra410315-43
20IndependienteIndependiente302124-22
21Platense302113-22
22San Lorenzo201112-11
23Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz201101-11
24Sarmiento301224-21
25Defensa y JusticiaDefensa301225-31
26BanfieldBanfield301215-41
27TigreTigre301216-51
28Central CordobaC. Cordoba300339-60
 
First Phase
1Bath RugbyBath0
2Bath RugbyBath0


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