Major League Soccer

Jun 2, 2024 at 12.30am UK

MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field

NY Red Bulls
1 - 0
Orlando City

Tolkin (38')
Edelman (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Angulo (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-1 Orlando City

While Orlando City have avoided defeat in their last five league games, it is worth pointing out that all of those were against sides in the bottom half of the table in their respective Conferences. They now face a much stronger opponent in the Red Bulls, who are unbeaten at Red Bull Arena this season, and we feel they will extend their home record with another win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New York Red Bulls.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Orlando City
55.34% ( -0.03)	23.33% ( -0.31)	21.33% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 52.68% (

1.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.56% (

1.72)

47.44% (

-1.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.34% (

1.57)

69.66% (

-1.56)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.01% (

0.62)

16.99% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.89% (

1.07)

47.11% (

-1.07)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.46% (

1.32)

36.54% (

-1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.68% (

1.31)

73.33% (

-1.3)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 55.34%

Orlando City 21.33%

Draw 23.33%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Orlando City
1-0 @ 11% ( -0.57) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.05% Total : 55.34%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.33%	0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.33%