Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Minnesota United win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Sporting Kansas City has a probability of 29.12% and a draw has a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win is 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.21%).
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
48.07% ( -0.12) | 22.82% ( 0.02) | 29.12% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 62.74% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.08% ( -0.01) | 37.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.82% ( -0.01) | 60.18% ( 0.01) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.88% ( -0.05) | 16.12% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.46% ( -0.09) | 45.54% ( 0.08) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.79% ( 0.06) | 25.21% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.06% ( 0.08) | 59.94% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.66% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 33 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |