Fenix

0 - 1

Penarol

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 16.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.91%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.