Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10

Apr 30, 2024 at 12am UK

Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
3 - 0
River Plate

Ramirez (9'), Galletto (24' og.), Fernandez (72' pen.)
Castillo (14'), Garcia (79'), Mendez (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Barboza (45'), Vera (54')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-2 Penarol
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

River Plate

All competitions

Last Game: River Plate 2-2 Progreso
Sunday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 15.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	River Plate
60.8% ( -0.23)	23.27% ( 0.21)	15.92% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 43.64% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.35% (

-0.72)

54.64% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.02% (

-0.6)

75.98% (

0.6)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.36% (

-0.34)

17.64% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.75% (

-0.6)

48.25% (

0.6)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.99% (

-0.4)

47.01% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.51% (

-0.3)

82.49% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Penarol 60.8%

River Plate 15.92%

Draw 23.27%

Penarol	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 14.38% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 12.48% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 60.8%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.56% Total : 23.27%	0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 15.92%