Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
We said: Roma 1-1 Frosinone
Disjointed displays and dismal results have led to piles of pressure on Roma to collect three points on Sunday. Their modest visitors from nearby Frosinone will not roll over, though, and with some astute coaching and a sprinkling of on-loan talent they can frustrate their illustrious hosts at the Olimpico.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 49.86% . A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 24.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.29%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%) , while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (8.06%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result Roma Draw Frosinone 49.86% ( 0.47) 25.84% ( -0.13) 24.3% ( -0.34)
Both teams to score 48.65% ( 0.04)
45.46% ( 0.22) 54.54% ( -0.22)
24.11% ( 0.18) 75.89% ( -0.18)
78.09% ( 0.3) 21.91% ( -0.3)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.82% ( 0.45) 55.17% ( -0.45)
62.3% ( -0.18) 37.69% ( 0.19)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.53% ( -0.18) 74.47% ( 0.19)
Roma 49.85%
Frosinone 24.3%
Draw 25.84%
Roma Draw Frosinone 1-0 @ 12.53% 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 49.85% 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.84% 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.65% Total : 24.3%
How you voted: Roma vs Frosinone
64
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-18 05:00:50
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