Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma2 - 2Salernitana
We said: Roma 1-1 Salernitana
No team drew more games in Europe's top five leagues last season (15, level with Reims and Nantes), so Salernitana are not easy to beat under Paulo Sousa. With a settled side and a proven goal threat, the visitors can therefore frustrate their hosts on matchday one and restrict new-look Roma to just a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Salernitana |
59.11% ( -0.16) | 23.14% ( 0.11) | 17.75% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.49% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
