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Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Oct 2, 2022 at 3am UK
Empire Field
Austin FC

Vancouver
2 - 0
Austin

Gauld (7'), Cavallini (62')
Cavallini (90+1'), Blackmon (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Romana (18'), Ring (57'), Felipe (90+1'), Cascante (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 Seattle
Sunday, September 18 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, September 18 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Austin FC

It appears as though Vancouver have got their act together, and with Cavallini back in the fold, we should see them come out very determined and aggressive this weekend, though it might still be too little too late for their playoff chances. With such a big cushion near the top the table, Austin have looked a little too comfortable and complacent of late, knowing that they are already assured of a home playoff game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawAustin FC
42.78% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 25.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 31.86% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.75% (0.094999999999999 0.09)48.24% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.6% (0.087000000000003 0.09)70.39% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.082999999999998 0.08)22.48% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.97% (0.125 0.13)56.03% (-0.125 -0.13)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)64.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 42.78%
    Austin FC 31.86%
    Draw 25.35%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.86%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Austin

Vancouver Whitecaps
30.0%
Draw
30.0%
Austin FC
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 1.30am
Austin
3-0
Vancouver
Urruti (11', 26'), Driussi (68')
Ring (35'), Gabrielsen (45+1'), Pereira (90')

Blackmon (25'), Cavallini (75'), White (90+3')
Sep 5, 2021 12am
Vancouver
2-1
Austin
Godoy (70'), Caicedo (83')
Caicedo (84')
Driussi (45')
Fagundez (7'), Kleemann (79')
Aug 19, 2021 2am
Austin
1-2
Vancouver
Ring (37')
Jimenez (55'), Besler (63')
Nerwinski (52'), White (74')
Dajome (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto177372626024
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Houston DynamoHouston167361918124
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver166552319423
7Colorado RapidsColorado176562930-123
8Austin FCAustin176562125-423
9Portland TimbersPortland175483233-119
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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