Major League Soccer

Apr 24, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Austin FC Stadium

Austin
3 - 0
Vancouver

Urruti (11', 26'), Driussi (68')
Ring (35'), Gabrielsen (45+1'), Pereira (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Blackmon (25'), Cavallini (75'), White (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Austin FC 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

The Whitecaps have made it a habit of waiting far too long to get into a game this season, and to do that against one of the most dynamic and potent MLS sides in 2022 is asking for trouble. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 15.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
63.88%	20.39%	15.73%

Both teams to score 51.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.7%

43.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.3%

65.7%

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.13%

12.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.75%

39.25%

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.58%

40.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.96%

77.03%

Score Analysis

Austin FC 63.88%

Vancouver Whitecaps 15.73%

Draw 20.39%

Austin FC	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
2-0 @ 10.93% 1-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 6.77% 4-0 @ 3.83% 4-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 3.07% 5-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.2% Total : 63.88%	1-1 @ 9.66% 0-0 @ 5.2% 2-2 @ 4.49% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.39%	0-1 @ 4.71% 1-2 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.36% 1-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.83% Total : 15.73%