Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Charlotte FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
39.64% ( 0.12) | 25.99% ( -0.03) | 34.36% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 54% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.64% ( 0.12) | 50.35% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.7% ( 0.11) | 72.29% ( -0.11) |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.01% ( 0.12) | 24.99% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.36% ( 0.16) | 59.64% ( -0.16) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.99% ( 0.01) | 28% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.35% ( 0.01) | 63.64% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Charlotte FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.64% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 28 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 23 |
8 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 23 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 14 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |