Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
40.61% ( 0.16) | 24.52% ( -0.19) | 34.87% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 59.23% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.36% ( 0.9) | 43.64% ( -0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.97% ( 0.88) | 66.03% ( -0.88) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.46% ( 0.47) | 21.54% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.4% ( 0.71) | 54.6% ( -0.71) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.49% ( 0.44) | 24.51% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.03% ( 0.62) | 58.97% ( -0.62) |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.61% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 13 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 29 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |