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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Mar 2, 2021 at 8pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
1 - 1
Maldonado

Roldan (84')
Ferreira (18')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cantera (45+2')

Preview: Progreso vs. Deportivo Maldonado - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Coming off a defeat to Adelaide United, league leaders Central Coast Mariners will aiming to return to winning ways when they travel to Perth Glory.

This is the first meeting between the sides this season, with the hosts holding on for a 1-0 win in their most recent meeting back in July 2020.


Match preview

Perth Glory players pictured in November 2020© Reuters

Match preview text

Progreso Uruguayan Primera Division form:
Progreso form (all competitions): Delete this line if irrelevant

Deportivo Maldonado Uruguayan Primera Division form:
Deportivo Maldonado form (all competitions): Delete this line if irrelevant


Team News

Full size image here

Team News text here

Progreso possible starting lineup:
Lineup here

Deportivo Maldonado possible starting lineup:
Lineup here


Head To Head

Head To Head text here (delete section if 30-min preview)


SM words green background

We say: Progreso X-Y Deportivo Maldonado

Prediction justification text here



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.


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