Friendlies 1

Jan 20, 2024 at 8pm UK

Nippert Stadium

USA
0 - 1
Slovenia

White (46')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gradisar (26')
Sturm (45'), Zabukovnik (67'), Zabukovnik (67')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between USA and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 2-1 USA
Tuesday, November 21 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	USA	3	12	7
2	Jamaica	3	8	7
3	Trinidad and Tobago	3	-6	3
4	Saint Kitts and Nevis	3	-14	0

Slovenia

All competitions

Last Game: Slovenia 2-1 Kazakhstan
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	10	11	22
2	Denmark	10	9	22
3	Finland	10	8	18
4	Kazakhstan	10	4	18
5	Northern Ireland	10	-4	9
6	San Marino	10	-28	0

Neither side have much international experience, but we believe there will be plenty of continuity, seeing as the majority of those chosen feature at club level in their respective countries. While we expect to see a spirited affair between these players looking to make an impression on their respective coaches, we do not believe that either side have a decisive edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 67.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 12.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
USA	Draw	Slovenia
67.33% ( -0.55)	19.9% ( 0.34)	12.77% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 45.85% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.62% (

-0.91)

47.38% (

0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.4% (

-0.85)

69.6% (

0.85)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.89% (

-0.43)

13.11% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.25% (

-0.89)

39.75% (

0.89)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.76% (

-0.21)

47.23% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.34% (

-0.16)

82.66% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

USA 67.33%

Slovenia 12.77%

Draw 19.9%

USA	Draw	Slovenia
2-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.74% Total : 67.33%	1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.67% Total : 19.9%	0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 12.77%