Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Miejski
Ukraine1 - 1England
The Match
Match Report
England's 100% record in Euro 2024 qualifying came to an end as Ukraine hold out for a 1-1 draw at Stadion Wroclaw in Group C.
Team News
Jordan Henderson and James Maddison both start for England in their Euro 2024 qualifier against Ukraine, while Harry Maguire holds his place in defence.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Ukraine and England, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Saturday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group C clash with Ukraine.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ukraine 1-0 Malta
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 4 | 14 | 12 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 5 | Malta | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ukraine | Draw | England |
30.92% ( 1.01) | 28.18% ( 0.06) | 40.9% ( -1.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.38% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
