Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.3%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s would win this match.