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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Fiorentina logo

Roma
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Lukaku (5')
Cristante (37'), Zalewski (41'), Paredes (80'), Llorente (90+6')
Zalewski (64'), Lukaku (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (66')
Ikone (64'), Biraghi (75'), Duncan (86')
Milenkovic (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Roma
Sunday, December 3 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-1 Fiorentina

Fiorentina do not always travel well, while Roma are a formidable force at home. The Giallorossi should therefore expect to continue their upturn in fortunes, as their squad depth is now quite impressive; helping them stay strong into the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawFiorentina
46.99% (0.20500000000001 0.21) 25.45% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 27.55% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28% (0.311 0.31)50.72% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (0.276 0.28)72.62% (-0.28 -0.28)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (0.22099999999999 0.22)21.59% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (0.338 0.34)54.68% (-0.343 -0.34)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (0.075999999999993 0.08)32.89% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.53% (0.082999999999998 0.08)69.46% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Roma 46.99%
    Fiorentina 27.55%
    Draw 25.45%
RomaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 46.99%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.55%

How you voted: Roma vs Fiorentina

Roma
72.5%
Draw
15.9%
Fiorentina
11.6%
69
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 37
Fiorentina
2-1
Roma
Jovic (85'), Ikone (88')
Saponara (25'), Martinez (42'), Venuti (50'), Jovic (64'), Julio (77')
El Shaarawy (11')
Missori (32'), Solbakken (58'), Svilar (75'), Mourinho (84')
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Dybala (40', 82')
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
2-0
Roma
Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')

Mancini (24')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
1-2
Roma
Spinazzola (60' og.)
Ribery (71')
Spinazzola (49'), Diawara (88')
Mancini (40'), Kumbulla (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Lecce37813163254-2237
14CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
15FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
19SassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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