Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Empoli |
58.29% ( -1.65) | 23.67% ( 0.54) | 18.04% ( 1.11) |
Both teams to score 46.47% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.96% ( -0.43) | 53.03% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.37% ( -0.37) | 74.62% ( 0.37) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.04% ( -0.75) | 17.96% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.2% ( -1.3) | 48.8% ( 1.3) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.65% ( 1.11) | 43.35% ( -1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.41% ( 0.92) | 79.58% ( -0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 13.36% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.37% Total : 58.28% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.72% Total : 18.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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