MX23RW : Sunday, April 6 15:33:07| >> :60:928:928:
Real Salt Lake
US Open Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jun 8, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
LA Galaxy

Salt Lake
3 - 2
LA Galaxy

Kreilach (19', 45+6' pen.), Savarino (51')
Glad (32'), Kreilach (56'), Eneli (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Brugman (82' pen.), Costa (84')
Neal (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's US Open Cup clash between Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 1-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, June 1 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Real Salt Lake 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

Neither side have been all that convincing in the league this year, but the Galaxy have had a much tougher road to get here than RSL, and we expect their experience from 2022 will be an asset come Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
45.87% (0.233 0.23) 24.16% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 29.97% (-0.305 -0.31)
Both teams to score 58.51% (-0.416 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.26% (-0.471 -0.47)43.73% (0.464 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (-0.461 -0.46)66.12% (0.455 0.45)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)19.23% (0.086000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.06% (-0.151 -0.15)50.93% (0.145 0.15)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (-0.437 -0.44)27.56% (0.431 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.92% (-0.566 -0.57)63.08% (0.561 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 45.87%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 29.97%
    Draw 24.16%
Real Salt LakeDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.74% (0.152 0.15)
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 45.87%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.83% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.97%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy

Real Salt Lake
Draw
Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake
21.4%
Draw
14.3%
Los Angeles Galaxy
64.3%
14
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2023 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-3
LA Galaxy
Musovski (51'), Ruiz (67')
Gomez (54'), Mastroeni (55'), Musovski (57'), Brody (64'), Ruiz (83')
Brugman (45+4' pen.), Rodriguez (72'), Boyd (74')
Edwards (66')
Oct 2, 2022 3.30am
Apr 30, 2022 8.30pm
Sep 30, 2021 2.30am
gameweek 37
Salt Lake
2-1
LA Galaxy
Kreilach (45'), Julio (90+5')
Hernandez (76')
Aug 5, 2021 3.30am
gameweek 23
LA Galaxy
1-0
Salt Lake
Alvarez (53')

Besler (35'), Toia (70'), Meram (85')
rhs 2.0
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14Manchester UnitedMan Utd30107133741-437
15Everton31714103338-535
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3198143552-1735
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