Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Rennes |
36.5% ( -0.03) | 27.58% ( 0.01) | 35.92% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.1% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.36% ( -0.03) | 56.64% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.39% ( -0.03) | 77.61% ( 0.02) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% ( -0.03) | 29.75% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.18% ( -0.04) | 65.82% ( 0.04) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.89% ( -0) | 30.11% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.75% ( -0) | 66.25% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.49% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |