Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Monza had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | AC Milan |
28.01% ( 0.02) | 24.65% ( 0.41) | 47.35% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 55.55% ( -1.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.96% ( -1.78) | 47.04% ( 1.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.72% ( -1.68) | 69.28% ( 1.68) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.38% ( -0.91) | 30.62% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.14% ( -1.09) | 66.86% ( 1.09) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.07% ( -0.89) | 19.93% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.92% ( -1.45) | 52.08% ( 1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.01% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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