MX23RW : Monday, May 20 09:50:03| >> :60:290:290:
Montenegro national football team
Friendlies 2
Oct 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Pod Goricom
Lebanon national football team

Montenegro
3 - 2
Lebanon

Kuc (16', 19'), Osmajic (69')
Vukcevic (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Darwiche (65'), Tneich (80')
Ayoub (45+2'), Awada (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Montenegro and Lebanon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Montenegro 2-1 Bulgaria
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Lebanon 0-2 Oman
Monday, March 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies

We said: Montenegro 2-0 Lebanon

Depending on how strong of an XI Radulovic opts to go with from the outset, a full Montenegro side should have no issue in making it back-to-back wins in this encounter. Many changes could be on the cards though and chopping and changing in terms of substitutions, so it may not be a rout, despite the gulf in class between the two nations. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.

Result
MontenegroDrawLebanon
31.46% (-0.235 -0.24) 28.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 40.17% (0.286 0.29)
Both teams to score 46.05% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.9% (0.114 0.11)60.1% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.69% (0.087 0.09)80.31% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1% (-0.114 -0.11)34.9% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36% (-0.118 -0.12)71.63% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.22 0.22)29.27% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.269 0.27)65.23% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Montenegro 31.46%
    Lebanon 40.16%
    Draw 28.36%
MontenegroDrawLebanon
1-0 @ 10.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 31.46%
1-1 @ 13.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.36%
0-1 @ 12.54% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 40.16%

How you voted: Montenegro vs Lebanon

Montenegro
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Lebanon
16.7%
18
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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