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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta logo

Inter Milan
3 - 2
Atalanta

Lukaku (1'), Barella (3'), Martinez (77')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pasalic (36'), Onana (90+1' og.)
Toloi (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 20 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Atalanta BC

While no team has won more home matches in this season's Serie A than Inter, their visitors boast the third-best away record in Italy's top flight. It may be just one goal that splits the sides, then, but the hosts' momentum is still building whereas Atalanta are a more hit-and-miss proposition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
58.27% (0.067 0.07) 23.6% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 18.13% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 46.83% (-0.281 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.36% (-0.275 -0.27)52.64% (0.274 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71% (-0.238 -0.24)74.29% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17% (-0.077999999999989 -0.08)17.82% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.43% (-0.133 -0.13)48.56% (0.132 0.13)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.99% (-0.286 -0.29)43.01% (0.285 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.7% (-0.242 -0.24)79.3% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 58.27%
    Atalanta BC 18.13%
    Draw 23.59%
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 13.22% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 11.4% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.55% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 58.27%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.59%
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.71% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Atalanta

Inter Milan
78.9%
Draw
14.1%
Atalanta BC
7.0%
71
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
1-0
Atalanta
Darmian (57')
Gosens (32'), Martinez (82'), Onana (90+4'), Correa (90+1')

Soppy (90')
Nov 13, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 15
Atalanta
2-3
Inter Milan
Lookman (25' pen.), Luis Palomino (77')
Dzeko (36', 56'), Luis Palomino (61' og.)
de Vrij (74')
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
gameweek 6
Inter Milan
2-2
Atalanta
Martinez (5'), Dzeko (71')
Bastoni (12'), Calhanoglu (43'), Barella (70')
Malinovskyi (30'), Toloi (38')
Malinovskyi (4'), Luis Palomino (19'), Zapata (21'), Zappacosta (64'), Toloi (90')
Mar 8, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Inter Milan
1-0
Atalanta
Skriniar (54')
Conte (12')

Romero (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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