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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 33
Apr 22, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Tynecastle
Ross County

Hearts
6 - 1
Ross County

Cochrane (17'), Ginnelly (22', 57'), Shankland (28', 45+7' pen., 59')
Kiomourtzoglou (90+5')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Edwards (85' pen.)
Randall (38'), Stones (55'), Tillson (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 1-0 Hearts
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 0-1 Aberdeen
Friday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-0 Ross County

Given that Ross County have managed to win just one of their last eight away league outings, Saturday's clash provides Hearts with the ideal opportunity to return to winning ways. Having won six of their previous eight home matches in the Premiership – scoring at least three goals on five occasions during that period – Hearts look set to secure a much-needed victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawRoss County
44.29% (0.065000000000005 0.07) 24.75% (-0.5 -0.5) 30.96% (0.431 0.43)
Both teams to score 57.04% (1.897 1.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.1% (2.376 2.38)45.9% (-2.378 -2.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.79% (2.213 2.21)68.21% (-2.214 -2.21)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (1.026 1.03)20.79% (-1.027 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55% (1.586 1.59)53.45% (-1.589 -1.59)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.02% (1.477 1.48)27.98% (-1.479 -1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.38% (1.844 1.84)63.62% (-1.847 -1.85)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 44.29%
    Ross County 30.96%
    Draw 24.74%
HeartsDrawRoss County
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.036 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.648 -0.65)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.164 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.224 0.22)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.12 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 44.29%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.257 0.26)
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.609 -0.61)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.74%
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.445 -0.45)
1-2 @ 7.41% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.169 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.205 0.21)
0-3 @ 2% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 1% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: Hearts vs Ross County

Hearts
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Ross County
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 3pm
gameweek 13
Ross County
1-2
Hearts
White (11')
Cancola (22')
Shankland (15'), Halliday (20')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
gameweek 1
Hearts
2-1
Ross County
Forrest (59'), McKay (77')
Grant (80')
White (79')
Baldwin (52'), Purrington (67')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
gameweek 2
Hearts
0-0
Ross County

Callachan (15'), Tillson (59'), Watson (67'), Spittal (75')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
gameweek 32
Ross County
1-1
Hearts
Iacovitti (31')
Callachan (59'), Tillson (68'), Samuel (82')
McKay (39')
Halliday (88')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
gameweek 20
Hearts
2-1
Ross County
Smith (4'), Woodburn (42')
Halliday (87')
White (72')
Baldwin (44'), Clarke (70'), Spittal (75')
rhs 2.0
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9.10pm
Collins
Sabalenka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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