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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 37
May 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
St Mirren logo

Aberdeen
3 - 0
St Mirren

Clarkson (14'), Shinnie (43', 49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gogic (59')
Small (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 2-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, May 20 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 2-2 St Mirren
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 St Mirren

With Aberdeen having slipped up in recent matches, St Mirren will fancy their chances of causing another surprise on their travels. However, we feel that the Dons will do just enough to edge this contest, putting themselves on the brink of securing third position. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawSt Mirren
58.86% (0.403 0.4) 21.85% (-0.07 -0.07) 19.28% (-0.341 -0.34)
Both teams to score 54.24% (-0.372 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21% (-0.206 -0.21)43.78% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)66.17% (0.194 0.19)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (0.054000000000002 0.05)14.54% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.42% (0.11199999999999 0.11)42.57% (-0.118 -0.12)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46% (-0.478 -0.48)36.53% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68% (-0.484 -0.48)73.32% (0.47699999999999 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 58.86%
    St Mirren 19.28%
    Draw 21.85%
AberdeenDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.88% (0.129 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.35% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.08% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.06% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 58.86%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.046 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.85%
0-1 @ 5.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.69% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.9% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 19.28%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs St Mirren

Aberdeen
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
St Mirren
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Aberdeen
1-3
St Mirren
Miovski (74' pen.)
MacDonald (13'), Ramadani (36'), Lopes (37'), Pollock (63')
McCrorie (7')
Main (57', 81'), Gallagher (90')
Dunne (35'), Greive (36')
Dec 24, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 18
St Mirren
3-1
Aberdeen
Roos (38' og.), O'Hara (53' pen.), Kiltie (90+5')
Erhahon (30')
Kennedy (9')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
gameweek 2
Aberdeen
4-1
St Mirren
Miovski (24' pen., 37'), Clarkson (45'), Lopes (87')
McCrorie (61')
Ayunga (53' pen.)
Gallagher (9'), Ayunga (48'), Kiltie (85')
Gallagher (23')
May 15, 2022 12pm
gameweek 5
Aberdeen
0-0
St Mirren

Bates (71')

Erhahon (28'), Kiltie (80')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 23
St Mirren
1-0
Aberdeen
Ronan (61')
Tanser (90+2')

Campbell (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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