Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 2-1 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.