Republic of Ireland vs Azerbaijan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.