World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 30, 2021 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu
  • Emin Mahmudov 59' goal
  • Tamkin Xalilzada 88' yellowcard
  • goal Aleksandar Mitrovic 16'
  • yellowcard Uros Spajic 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Gudelj 76'
  • goal Aleksandar Mitrovic 81'

Azerbaijan vs Serbia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Mar 24, 2021 7.45pm
Portugal 1 - 0 Azerbaijan

Serbia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Mar 27, 2021 7.45pm
Serbia 2 - 2 Portugal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 43.48%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.48%) and 1-2 (7.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.73%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 1-0 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result

Azerbaijan 24.87%
Draw 31.65%
Serbia 43.48%

Both Teams to Score: 

35.22%

Goals

Over 2.5 28.27%
Under 2.5 71.73%
Over 3.5 11.68%
Under 3.5 88.32%

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5 52.84%
Under 0.5 47.15%
Over 1.5 17.39%
Under 1.5 82.6%

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5 66.64%
Under 0.5 33.36%
Over 1.5 30.02%
Under 1.5 69.98%

Score analysis

Azerbaijan 24.87%
Draw 31.65%
Serbia 43.48%
Azerbaijan
1-0 @ 11.82%
2-1 @ 4.88%
2-0 @ 4.44%
3-1 @ 1.22%
3-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 24.87%
Draw
0-0 @ 15.73%
1-1 @ 12.98%
2-2 @ 2.68%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 31.65%
Serbia
0-1 @ 17.27%
0-2 @ 9.48%
1-2 @ 7.13%
0-3 @ 3.47%
1-3 @ 2.61%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 43.48%