Portugal vs Republic of Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 9.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.79%) and 3-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.84%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.