Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 70.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.11% and a win for US Lusitanos Saint-Maur had a probability of 11.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.73%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%) , while for a US Lusitanos Saint-Maur win it was 1-0 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.