Coupe de France | Round of 64
Dec 20, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
 
Lille

US LusitanosUS Lusitanos Saint-Maur
0-1
Lille

FT(HT: 0-0)
Broholm (80')
Coverage of the Coupe de France Round of 64 clash between US Lusitanos Saint-Maur and Lille.

Form, Standings, Stats

US Lusitanos Saint-Maur

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Last Game: US Lusitanos 0-1 Lille
Saturday, December 20 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France
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Lille

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Last Game: US Lusitanos 0-1 Lille
Saturday, December 20 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 70.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.11% and a win for US Lusitanos Saint-Maur had a probability of 11.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.73%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%) , while for a US Lusitanos Saint-Maur win it was 1-0 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
US Lusitanos Saint-MaurDrawLille
11.06% (2.465 2.47)18.11% (2.471 2.47)70.82% (-4.938 -4.94)
Both teams to score 46.2% (1.17 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.06% (-3.774 -3.77)43.94% (3.774 3.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.67% (-3.79 -3.79)66.32% (3.79 3.79)
US Lusitanos Saint-Maur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.99% (2.543 2.54)48.01% (-2.546 -2.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.76% (1.8 1.8)83.24% (-1.801 -1.8)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.86% (-2.209 -2.21)11.14% (2.206 2.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.41% (-5.08 -5.08)35.59% (5.078 5.08)
Score Analysis
    US Lusitanos Saint-Maur 11.06%
    Lille 70.81%
    Draw 18.11%
US Lusitanos Saint-MaurDrawLille
1-0 @ 3.92% (0.844 0.84)
2-1 @ 3.16% (0.622 0.62)
2-0 @ 1.44% (0.39 0.39)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 11.06%
1-1 @ 8.61% (1.172 1.17)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.832 0.83)
2-2 @ 3.47% (0.402 0.4)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 18.11%
0-2 @ 12.87% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-1 @ 11.73% (0.83 0.83)
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.465 0.47)
0-3 @ 9.42% (-1.177 -1.18)
1-3 @ 6.91% (-0.321 -0.32)
0-4 @ 5.17% (-1.236 -1.24)
1-4 @ 3.79% (-0.575 -0.58)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.069 0.07)
0-5 @ 2.27% (-0.825 -0.83)
1-5 @ 1.67% (-0.446 -0.45)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 70.81%

rhs 2.0


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