Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.