Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Sep 25, 2021 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
  • Jorge Ramirez 90' yellowcard
  • goal Matias Zunino 74'
  • yellowcard Armando Mendez 75'
  • goal Gonzalo Bergessio 89'

Sud America vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sud America

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Sep 18, 2021 7.30pm
Villa Espanola 1 - 2 Sud America

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Sep 19, 2021 7.30pm
Nacional 0 - 1 Progreso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 54.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Sud America had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Sud America win it was 1-0 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result

Sud America 21.1%
Draw 24.6%
Nacional 54.29%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.52%

Goals

Over 2.5 47.18%
Under 2.5 52.81%
Over 3.5 25.56%
Under 3.5 74.43%

Sud America Goals

Over 0.5 60.18%
Under 0.5 39.81%
Over 1.5 23.52%
Under 1.5 76.48%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 80.61%
Under 0.5 19.39%
Over 1.5 48.8%
Under 1.5 51.19%

Score analysis

Sud America 21.1%
Draw 24.6%
Nacional 54.28%
Sud America
1-0 @ 7.11%
2-1 @ 5.37%
2-0 @ 3.27%
3-1 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 1.35%
3-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 21.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 7.72%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.6%
Nacional
0-1 @ 12.66%
0-2 @ 10.38%
1-2 @ 9.57%
0-3 @ 5.68%
1-3 @ 5.23%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-4 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 2.15%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 54.28%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
May 31, 2021 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Leandro Fernandez 30' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Bergessio 61' goal
  • Gonzalo Bergessio 62' goal
  • Camilo Candido 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard German Triunfo 32'
  • yellowcard Pablo Mouche 36'
  • yellowcard Kevin Mathias Lewis Rodriguez 39'
  • yellowcard Kevin Lewis 39'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Pereyra 62'
  • yellowcard 63'