Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 7, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Dnipro Arena

Dnipro-1
2 - 1
Mariupol

Dovbyk (15'), Nazarenko (30')
Kravchenko (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
V'Yunnik (77')
Drambayev (65'), Mampasi (68')
Drambayev (82')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dnipro-1 and Mariupol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.

Result
Dnipro-1DrawMariupol
44.01%27.08%28.91%
Both teams to score 48.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.66%56.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.63%77.36%
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56%25.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74%60.26%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.18%34.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.45%71.55%
Score Analysis
    Dnipro-1 44.01%
    Mariupol 28.91%
    Draw 27.08%
Dnipro-1DrawMariupol
1-0 @ 12.12%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 8.3%
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 44.01%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.86%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 9.34%
1-2 @ 6.75%
0-2 @ 4.93%
1-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 28.91%